By Michael Krepon
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Additional info for Commercial Observation Satellites and International Security
On balance, however, the advent of new and better commercial satellites will have a positive impact by making it marginally more difficult for nations to carry out surprise attacks. Greater transparency from space will also make it harder for states to stage incidents or find other "plausible" rationales for military action. These impacts will be felt primarily by nations that stress decisive offensive operations in their military doctrine and planning. Observation satellites will thus join a web of constraints now developing that will make it more difficult for states to mask offensive designs requiring large numbers of troops.
17 of this volume. 9. "SPOT's Receiving Station Network Continues to Expand," Press Release, SPOT Image Corporation, Reston, Virginia, November 17, 1988. Updated in phone interview with Spot Image, March 10, 1989. 10. National Report on Remote Sensing Activities in Australia, n. 4, pp. 2-3. 11. Space Commerce, n. 3, p. 66. Mary Umberger 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 15 Information provided by a SPOT executive, telephone interview, December 28, 1988. "Thailand Remote Sensing Centre: Towards Regional Cooperation," paper presented at the Sixth Asian Conference on Remote Sensing, Hotel Deccan Continental, Hyderabad, India, November 21-26, 1985.
H None of the impacts discussed above pose a serious national security threat to either superpower, or place greater financial burdens upon them. Instead, the two first-tier states are likely to view commercial observation satellites as being a newly complicating and occasionally discomforting phenomenon of international politics. Some second and third tier states will inevitably find satellite pictures far more unsettling. As more countries within these tiers gain access to higher quality images from space, they will invariably add to their storehouse of knowledge about opposing military capabilities, including information that has important utility for targeting purposes.
Commercial Observation Satellites and International Security by Michael Krepon