Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World - download pdf or read online

By Intellige National Intelligence Council, National Intelligence Council

ISBN-10: 0160818346

ISBN-13: 9780160818349

From the Muslimization of Western Europe to the influence of HIV/AIDS round the planet, from the rigors of the arriving post-petroleum global to the tactical implications of an ice-free Arctic, the international locations of Earth are dealing with extra radical switch than ever ahead of within the first region of the twenty first century. this crucial govt report-from the U.S. nationwide INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL, which has been generating tests of nationwide defense matters for senior U.S. coverage makers in view that 1979-casts a strategic eye on the close to destiny and examines these components and tendencies that may so much dramatically form it: • the speedily globalizing economic system • the becoming worldwide center type • the demanding situations of getting older populations • migration, urbanization, and ethnic shifts • the emerging heavyweights: India and China • the geopolitics of power, water, meals and weather switch • the danger of a nuclear palms race within the heart East • terrorism • power-sharing in a multipolar global • and extra. scholars of political developments, forward-looking marketers, and an individual longing for a glimpse into the subsequent a long time will locate this crucial studying.

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Individuals in these emerging economic powerhouses are likely to feel still poor in relation to Westerners even though their collective GDP increasingly will outdistance those of individual Western states. For Russia, remaining in the top tier where it has been since its remarkable resurgence during the late 1990s and early part of the 21st century may be extremely x US security and economic interests could face new challenges if China becomes a peer competitor that is militarily strong as well as economically dynamic and energy hungry.

Although prevention efforts and local behavioral changes will depress infection rates globally, experts expect HIV/AIDS to remain a global pandemic through 2025 with its epicenter of infection in Sub-Saharan Africa. Unlike today, the vast majority of people living with HIV will have access to life-extending antiretroviral therapies. x x If prevention efforts and effectiveness remain at current levels, the HIV-positive population is expected to climb to around 50 million by 2025—up from 33 million today (22 million in Sub-Saharan Africa).

All will retain age structures with large proportions of young The current youth bulges in the Maghreb states, Turkey, Lebanon, and Iran will diminish rapidly but those in the West Bank/Gaza, Iraq, Yemen, Saudi Arabia 22 The Impact of HIV/AIDS Neither an effective HIV vaccine nor a selfadministered microbicide, even if developed and tested before 2025, will likely be widely disseminated by then. Although prevention efforts and local behavioral changes will depress infection rates globally, experts expect HIV/AIDS to remain a global pandemic through 2025 with its epicenter of infection in Sub-Saharan Africa.

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Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World by Intellige National Intelligence Council, National Intelligence Council


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