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By A. Kosarik (ed.)

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The notion of dual unity between fear and hostility has strong empirical support with appropriate individual-level data in psychological research. Psychoanalysts have traditionally linked fear of extinction with hostility. Schafer (1999) conducted experiments showing that participants who felt more safe and secure than others were more likely to opt for cooperative as opposed to combative policy choices. Examining the attitudes of East German youth toward non-Germans with structural equation models, Watts (1996) found that threat was a more powerful predictor than activities.

This study therefore starts with the assumption that actual or anticipated shifts in ethnic balance would not automatically harden into security-dilemma situations even in near anarchical environments. The book investigates with opinion survey data why individual fears of ethnic “other” newcomers may differ widely in the same fear-producing environments. This focus on the origins of perceptions advances the line of inquiry implicit in the words of caution by Snyder and Jervis (1999: 24) that the security dilemma is “a social situation with social and perceptual causes, not simply a fact of nature.

To the extent that the logic of threat is inseparable from the logic of exaggeration, both need to be taken into account to improve our understanding of antimigrant sentiments. Mathematical notation is helpful at this point to clarify the central question of this study and this volume’s potential contribution to the international relations and migration literature. The underlying characteristic of previous attempts to examine migration’s impact on proclivity for conflict – as summarized earlier in this chapter – is that systematic cross-national comparisons focused on attributes of migration context and attributes of conflict.

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Los pueblos autóctonos de América Latina: Pasado y presente by A. Kosarik (ed.)

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