Nations at War: A Scientific Study of International Conflict - download pdf or read online

By Daniel S. Geller

ISBN-10: 0511521715

ISBN-13: 9780511521713

ISBN-10: 0521621194

ISBN-13: 9780521621199

ISBN-10: 0521629063

ISBN-13: 9780521629065

International locations at conflict presents a scientifically-derived rationalization of warfare. It develops this clarification by way of reviewing data-based experiences of foreign clash, interpreting warfare from the 15th to the 20th centuries, and opting for elements resembling geography, regimes, army functions, alliances, and alternate linked to either the onset and destructiveness of those conflicts. wars (the Iran/Iraq conflict of 1980, and global struggle I) are tested intimately for you to express how wars commence and occasionally extend to incorporate different states. This specific ebook collates and synthesizes the findings of over clinical experiences of battle.

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Example text

For example, in addition to his discussion of the impact of individual (leadership) idiosyncracies, formal roles, and systemic factors on foreign policy actions, Rosenau included a set of dichotomous variables based on state-level attributes postulated to affect patterns of foreign policy behavior. , Rosenau 1966; Allison 1969) focus on the influence of individual idiosyncracies, governmental roles, organizational structure and process, and bureaucratic politics in foreign policy decisionmaking models.

In Dessler's (1991:345) view: 8 See Hempel (1966:68-69) for a discussion on this point and for examples of probabilistic theories. 18 Overview causal knowledge cannot be captured within the confines of the deductive-nomological framework. Causal explanation shows the generative connection between cause and effect by appealing to a knowledge of the real structures that produce the observed phenomena, and it is this generative connection that gives the notion of cause meaning beyond that of simple regularity.

If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Program B is adopted, there is a 1 in 3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and a 2 in 3 probability that no one will be saved. Which program do you favor? Tversky and Kahneman report that the majority response (72 percent) in this problem - for Program A - is risk-averse decisionmaking. The prospect of saving with absolute certainty 200 people is more attractive than the risky prospect of equal expected value - a 1 in 3 chance of saving 600 people.

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Nations at War: A Scientific Study of International Conflict by Daniel S. Geller


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